Showing posts with label Fabio Capello. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fabio Capello. Show all posts

Saturday, 5 June 2010

Can England Really Win The World Cup?


Now that the dust has settled on Tuesday’s team selection, England fans can endlessly discuss the many options now available, the possible team selection, who should be number one goalkeeper, who can fill the right midfield slot and all other things that manager Fabio Capello has to consider before England’s opening World Cup game against the USA on June 12th.

Looking at the team, it would seem to me, that Capello selected a 30 squad in which the seven players who were eventually dropped from the side, were those who if selected, would have been the surprise inclusions, rather than surprise exclusions. Any hint of a surprise was then removed from the equation; a collective unit has therefore been established, while the players previous experience of playing with each other in previous tournaments, a somewhat substantial factor in his selections.



By no means do I wish to convey this hint of negativity, or criticise English fans hopes of winning the World Cup, but isn’t it slightly embarrassing that England are already considered amongst the favourites for the World Cup? Surely you have to reach the latter stages of major tournaments, every two years, in order to be considered amongst the favourites for the title, no matter how well the team has qualified?

I mean let’s look at the tests England have face in the past 2 years, taking into account the subsequent “favourites” expected to challenge for the World Cup trophy:

26/03/2008 Friendly – France 1 – 0 England
19/11/2008 Friendly – Germany 1 – 2 England
11/02/2009 Friendly – Spain 2 – 0 England
12/08/2009 Friendly – Netherlands 2 – 2 England
14/11/2009 Friendly – Brazil 1 – 0 England

Although friendly’s used to be deemed as “practice” or “experiments”, under Capello it’s evidently clear that friendly’s are just as important as qualifiers, and the above is proof that against some of the major sides in the World, England just do not cut it.

Therefore teams such as Germany, France, Brazil and Italy should be considered as the favourites for these tournaments. Why you ask? Because they have the big tournament pedigree, and are renowned for delivering what is expected of them. To prove this, we can compare the five team’s performances over previous tournaments to give an understanding why.



Let’s look at the last eight major competitions including European Championships (obviously excluding Brazil) and at the World Cup.

1994 – World Cup 94 USA

Brazil: Winners
Italy: Runners-up
Germany: Quarter Final
England: Did not qualify
France: Did not qualify

1996 – Euro 96 England

Germany: Winners
England: Semi-finals
France: Semi-finals
Italy: Group stage

1998 – World Cup 98 France

France: Winners
Brazil: Runners-up
Italy: Quarter-finals
Germany: Quarter-finals
England: Round of 16/Second round

2000 – Euro 2000 Belgium/Netherlands

France: Winners
Italy: Runners-up
England: Group Stage
Germany: Group stage

2002 – World Cup 2002 Korea/Japan

Brazil: Winners
Germany: Runners-up
England: Quarter-finals
Italy: Round of 16/Second round
France: Group stage

2004 – Euro 2004 Portugal

England: Quarter-finals
France: Quarter-finals
Germany: Group stage
Italy: Group stage

2006 – World Cup 2006 Germany

Italy: Winners
Brazil: Runners-up
Germany: Third Place
England: Quarter-finals
France: Runners-up

2008 – Euro 2008 Austria/Switzerland

Germany: Runners-up
Italy: Quarter-finals
France: Group Stage
England: Did not qualify

This recent history shows that Germany, Brazil and Italy are the clear powerhouses of World football, continuously getting to the latter stages of competitions and ultimately competing for the title. England however tend be there in the mix, but are unable to cause a real stir in any of the major competitions. Why is this? Is it the lack of discipline amongst the players from the coaches? i.e.; Glenn Hoddle, Graeme Taylor. Maybe it’s the lack of penalty takers, i.e.; David Batty, Gareth Southgate, Jamie Carragher and so on. Or maybe it’s just that the England side were just not good enough; consider a Portugal teams boasting the likes of Luis Figo, Joao Pinto and Rui Costa, Argentina and players such as Hernan Crespo and Gabriel Batistuta or even that Brazil team spearheaded by the “Three R’s” Ronaldo, Ronaldinho and Rivaldo, teams subsequently just being better then England.



Now for the Three Lions to truly live up the hype and consequently achieve what so many expect of them, a few things need to be considered. Firstly this moniker that it’s England’s golden generation, and that they are due a title needs to exacerbated, something Capello has already done.

Secondly; the unbelievable reliability on striker Wayne Rooney is an absolute joke. When Rooney injured his ankle against Bayern Munich, the whole of Britain was locked onto Sky Sports News, believing that without Rooney in the starting eleven, they have absolutely no chance of beating any side in the World. Yes Rooney is an excellent player and one of the best in the World, by the way he is overhyped by the English media, and it would assume that he can carry his team to glory, just as Maradona did with Argentina or Roberto Baggio did with Italy in 1994. The English fans need to realise that although Rooney is a potential match winner, the likes of Steven Gerrard, Frank Lampard; who has been sensational for Chelsea this season, captain Rio Ferdinand, Ashley Cole and even Gareth Barry, are all vital components to England having a chance of winning, as no single man can win his team the World Cup.

Finally, this pathetic talk of the weather being “beneficial” due to its similarities to that in Great Britain are just some of the farcical reason touted as one of the reasons England can win.



So can England really be victorious?

If we analyse Capello’s England, we can see what attributes England have which will ultimately determine how far they can go in this campaign.

Qualifying campaign

If we look at England’s qualifying campaign, it really made the World sit up and take note that the side now playing under Capello, are a serious team, with a new found discipline and winning mentality instilled into the sides play. England qualified top of their group, with just one defeat, but most impressively they lay to rest the ghosts of Croatia a few years earlier (with relative ease in doing so), topping the group and scoring 34 goals and only conceding just 6 goals in the process.

World Cup 2010 Squad

As stated earlier, the squad has no real surprises, only the absence of the inconsistent Theo Walcott and the inclusion of Wayne Bridge replacement Stephen Warnock the talking issues. The benefit and real strength of this squad is undoubtedly its experience and familiarity between its members. Players such as Shaun Wright-Phillips and Joe Cole’s places were up for grabs, however they have been in and around the England team for the last five years, and their inclusions highlighted Fabio Capello’s theory of selecting tried and tested internationals.

David James and Robert Green will be battling for the number one jersey, while Joe Hart will subsequently be the third choice keeper. This is probably the most clear and concise area in which England can be sure of an array of talent and options.

The return of the versatile Liverpool defender Jamie Carragher, who was persuaded to come out of international retirement, is another wise head in the squad. The inclusion of Ledley King, whose resurgence and return from injury is like having a brand new player. He had an excellent last few months in a Tottenham shirt, subsequently helping them achieve Champions League football for the first time in their history, while proving his fitness to Capello, allowing for one of the best defenders in England being able to make the trip to South Africa, and offering an adequate deputy to the first choice centre backs.



With the breaking and somewhat demoralising news that newly appointed captain Rio Ferdinand picked up a knee injury which has ruled him out of the World Cup, Tottenham Hotspur’s Michael Dawson now has the chance to step up onto the big stage, become a valuable member of the squad, and finally stepping up into the first team and carrying his fine club form onto the pitch if need be.

For more players worthy of implementing the winning mentality into the squad, look no further than the likes of Ashley Cole, Joe Cole, Frank Lampard and John Terry; whose experience and performances helped Chelsea FC win the domestic league and cup double. This good form is being carried on that plane to South Africa, and they will be natural born leaders both on and off the pitch, while holding the squad together, when the challenge gets tougher and tougher.

With the striking options for England, it’s well documented the importance of Manchester United 24 year old Wayne Rooney, and should he continue his excellent club form, which saw him score 34 goals in all competitions, into South Africa will sufficiently improve England’s chances. Also Peter Crouch cannot be discounted, neither can his goals scoring record, with 21 goals in 38 games, he definitely has a case for claiming that role of Rooney’s strike partner. Although the highly favoured Emile Heskey, who was selected ahead of Sunderland’s Darren Bent (who scored 25 goals last season, making him the second best English striker the Premiership), while the added option of the tricky and boisterous Jermaine Defoe, is another option from the bench, who can always grab a goal when needed. It would seem England have a good batch of attackers, which could cause defences many difficulties.



Experience

Something which arose to me quite recently, is that the current players flying out to South Africa; are England’s most mature squad ever being taking to a World Cup. According to Sky Sports, we can look at the two previous England squads who have gone the furthest in the competition.

1966 England Squad – Average Age: 26.5 years, Average Caps: 23 caps – Final Result: Winners

1990 England Squad – Average Age: 27.8 years, Average Caps: 32.2 caps – Final Result: Semi Final

2010 England Squad – Average Age: 28.7 years, Average Caps: 39.1 caps – Final Result: ???

As you can see, the current squad has the highest average age, as well as the highest average of caps amongst the squad, compared to the most successful England teams in history. Ultimately, these experienced players, are ultimately the reasons behind Capello’s decision to pick players such as; Joe Cole, Shaun Wright-Phillips and Emile Heskey ahead of players such as Adam Johnson, Scott Parker and even the surprise exclusion Theo Walcott. It’s this experience and big game know how, which have somewhat instilled the required discipline and winning mentality amongst the squad, something that again will be vital for progression through this tournament.



Also we can compare England’s stats compared to the averages of the other two favourites in the tournament; Spain and Brazil.

2010 Spain Squad – Average Age: 29.11 years, Average Caps: 36.8 caps
2010 Brazil Squad – Average Age: 29.7 years, Average Caps: 37.2 caps
2010 England Squad – Average Age: 28.7 years, Average Caps: 39.1 caps

England are heading into this tournament with a greater average age, as well as the most caps average, in this year’s tournament.

Chances?

England go into this tournament amongst the favourites, while there is of course a very good chance of Fabio Capello’s men being able to win the trophy, however it will be down to the Italian’s ability to instil this winning mentality displayed in qualifying and onto the grandest stage. The experience amongst the squad, as well as the talismanic Wayne Rooney, there is no reason why England can’t go all the way, however safer bets would be on a Quarter-final finish.



Let me know what you think? Do you think England can all the way? Who do you think will win the World Cup? Remember head to Real Talk Football Blog, for more on the World Cup and for you to place your vote.

Real Talk Football – Post Number 100!!

Wednesday, 5 May 2010

Countdown to South Africa - Group C

Group C



England

One time winners, England have never seemingly reached the dizzy heights of 1966. No thanks to indifferent managers, bad luck and inconsistencies have blighted England’s World Cup aspirations. The English media continuously build up England before every major tournament, heaping unnecessary pressure on the team. This time it’s no different, now being called the “Golden Generation”. Again silly quotes, but to be honest the media doesn’t dictate what happens on the football pitch. With Fabio Capello in charge, England do have a good chance to go far, but now the problem is their over reliance on striker Wayne Rooney. England need to work together as a team, rather than individuals, they could certainly cause an upset.

Manager: Fabio Capello

A disciplinarian, with a tactically astute mind for football, Capello has managed some of the top clubs in Europe; including the likes of Real Madrid, Roma, Juventus and AC Milan. The Italian commands the upmost respect and has instilled much needed discipline within the squad, which should be beneficial for all.

Key Player: Rio Ferdinand

The Manchester United centre back has been handed the captains armband after it was finally revoked from the shameful John Terry. A player with plenty of experience, a numerous Premiership title winner and a Champions League winner with his club, and a veteran of two World Cups, he now needs to show his excellent leadership and ability on the biggest stage.



Best Finish: Winner 1966

Everyone in the world knows about this, so let’s not elaborate! All we can say is another winner on home soil, in an infamous 4-2 win over rivals over West Germany.

Prediction: Quarter Finals/Semi Finals

They could make it far, but they will need the rub of the green, with Rooney, Lampard and Gerrard all performing well.



USA

The American’s are a very tricky side and showed this in an excellent Confederations Cup campaign. The likes of Clint Dempsey, Brad Guzan, Tim Howard, Carlos Bocanegra, Jay Demerit and Jonathan Spector all play in England and should be more than use to the way in which the game is played over here. The likes of Maurice Edu, and the tricky pacey winger DaMarcus Beasley both also play quite local, playing in Scotland with champions Rangers. The American’s also qualified superbly winning their group ahead of fellow finalists Mexico and Honduras.

Manager: Bob Bradley

The 52 year old from New Jersey, has been the boss since 2006, and will be coaching at his first World Cup.

Key Player: Clint Dempsey

For me he is one of the best players and most underrated players in the Premiership. He has been vital for Fulham this season, and helped reach the club maintain its mid table position and more impressively, reach the EUROPA League final. Dempsey has good technique, control and an eye for goal. Expect him to help the USA fire their way to the second round.



Best Finish: Third Place 1930

Prediction: Quarter Final

I believe the United States will be dark horses and manage to go quite far in this tournament. I believe they will give England a run for their money, but end up group runners up, losing finally in the Quarter Finals.



Algeria

They qualified in acrimonious circumstances against African Cup of Nations winners Egypt, beating them in two-legged qualification match due to them having exactly identical points, goals scored and conceded tallies. Ranked number 27 in the world.



Manager: Rabah Saadane

The 62 year old has managed Algeria four times before and is now in his fifth spell after taking over in 2007. If anyone knows Algeria, its him.

Key Player: Madjid Bougherra

The former Charlton and Sheffield Wednesday player, is now a cult hero as well as a key player to the back to back Scottish Champions Rangers. He can player Centre Back, Right Back or Centre Midfield, and has 40 caps for Algeria since making his debut in 2004.

Best Finish: Round 1 – 1982 and 1986

Prediction: Group Stage

I feel there aren’t enough big name players in the Squad to qualify. I expect them to prop up the table.



Slovenia

The Slovenian national team are currently ranked number 23 in the world, and they finished runners up to neighbours Slovakia in the qualifying campaign. A familiar name is that of the International captain Robert Koren, who plays for West Bromwich Albion, along with up and coming young player Rene Krhin who plays for Inter Milan and is highly rated by Jose Mourinho.



Manager: Matjez Kek

He has been in charge of the national side since 2007, after spending 6 years in charge of Slovenian top flight side Maribor.

Key Player: Samir Handanovic

The 24 year old, 6ft 4in goalkeeper plays for Siena in Italy, and is one of the busiest and most consistent players in the League. He has played over 100 times for Siena, and made 38 appearances at International level, and will be the Number One in South Africa.



Best Finish: Group Stage 2002

Finished bottom of the group with zero points losing to South Africa, Paraguay and Spain.

Prediction: Group Stage

Again, no enough quality players to cause any real impact. Will be battling with Algeria for the Wooden Spoon.


Next Up, Group D